Kirkpatrick Sale is an independent scholar, author, technology critic, and self-proclaimed neo-Luddite. In 1995, Sale made a public bet with Kevin Kelly that by the year 2020 there would be a convergence of three disasters: global currency collapse, significant warfare between rich and poor, and environmental disasters of some significant size. The bet was turned into a claim on the FX prediction market, where the probability has hovered around 25%. Wikipedia
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